Winter EO Report: Leadership in a Time of Disruption

Posted on May 4, 2014 in Viewpoints by admin

Human beings have learned an interesting trick over the centuries: the ability to conceptualize things that don’t exist. We can imagine a future, visualize possible outcomes, and examine potential scenarios. What we haven’t figured out is how to reliably and accurately predict the future.

That may explain why, when prognosticators expand on what will happen in the months and years ahead, they quite often paint a picture that looks much like what we have already experienced. How many economic forecasts conclude that next year will be similar to last year, only slightly more or less so? How many of those forecasts prove to be accurate?

(For full report, click here.)